Modeling strategies for controlling H1N1 outbreaks in China
| dc.contributor.author | Jin Zhang | |
| dc.contributor.author | Yanni Xiao | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2013-09-13T14:42:08Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2013-09-13T14:42:08Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2012 | |
| dc.description.abstract | There has been a global attack of A/H1N1 virus in 2009, which widely affected the world’s normal stability and economic development. Since the emergence of the first diagnosed A/H1N1 influenza infected person in 11 May 2009 in China, very strict policy including quarantine and isolation measures were widely implemented to control the spread of this disease before the vaccine appeared. We propose a compartmental model that mimics the infection process of A/H1N1 under control strategies taken in mainland China. Apart from theoretical analysis, using the statistic data of Shaanxi Province, we estimated the unknown epidemiological parameters of this disease in Shaanxi via least-squares fitting method. The estimated control reproductive number of H1N1 for its first peak was Rc1 = 2.555 (95% CI: 2.362–2.748) and that for the second peak was Rc2 = 1.886 (95% CI: 1.765–2.001). Our findings in this paper suggest that neither quarantine nor isolation measures could be relaxed, and the implementation of these interventions can reduce the pandemic outbreak of A/H1N1 pandemic significantly. | en |
| dc.format | Text | en |
| dc.format.extent | 1 digital file (19 p. : ill.) | en |
| dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | |
| dc.identifier.citation | Jin Zhang, & Yanni Xiao (2012). Modeling strategies for controlling H1N1 outbreaks in China. International Journal of Biomathematics, 5(4): 1-19.doi:10.1142/S1793524511001593 | en |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10625/51657 | |
| dc.language.iso | en | |
| dc.publisher | World Scientific Publishing Company | en |
| dc.subject | A/H1N1 INFLUENZA | en |
| dc.subject | QUARANTINE | en |
| dc.subject | ISOLATION | en |
| dc.subject | LEAST-SQUARES FITTING | en |
| dc.subject | VECTOR-BORNE DISEASES | en |
| dc.subject | INFLUENZA A VIRUS, H5N1 SUBTYPE | en |
| dc.subject | DISEASE CONTROL | en |
| dc.subject | CHINA | en |
| dc.title | Modeling strategies for controlling H1N1 outbreaks in China | en |
| dc.type | Journal Article (peer-reviewed) | en |
| idrc.copyright.holder | World Scientific Publishing Company | |
| idrc.dspace.access | IDRC Only | en |
| idrc.noaccess | Due to copyright restrictions the full text of this research output is not available in the IDRC Digital Library or by request from the IDRC Library. / Compte tenu des restrictions relatives au droit d'auteur, le texte intégral de cet extrant de recherche n'est pas accessible dans la Bibliothèque numérique du CRDI, et il n'est pas possible d'en faire la demande à la Bibliothéque du CRDI. | en |
| idrc.project.componentnumber | 104519010 | |
| idrc.project.componentnumber | 104519018 | |
| idrc.project.number | 104519 | |
| idrc.project.title | International Research Chairs Initiative (IRCI) | en |
| idrc.recordsserver.bcsnumber | IC01-3412-167 | |
| idrc.rims.adhocgroup | IDRC SUPPORTED | en |