A framework for complex climate change risk assessment

dc.contributor.authorSimpson, Nicholas P.
dc.contributor.authorMach, Katharine J.
dc.contributor.authorConstable, Andrew
dc.contributor.authorHess, Jeremy
dc.contributor.authorHogarth, Ryan
dc.contributor.otherCooper, Keren
dc.date.accessioned2021-05-14T14:32:36Z
dc.date.available2021-05-14T14:32:36Z
dc.date.issued2021-04-23
dc.description.abstractThe approach encourages divergent thinking, which traverses sectoral and regional boundaries and recognizes links between physical and socio-economic drivers of risk. In this paper recent work describing complex climate change risk is synthesized. It includes concepts of compound, connected, and cascading interactions. It reflects on the consequences of risk assessment and response. It then establishes a framework for risk assessment that encompasses increasing levels of complexity. The framework is demonstrated through diverse case studies to illustrate how risk assessments can better consider and categorize complexity. For convenience and tractability, analysts tend to break risk assessments into silos, often taking a component-oriented view.en
dc.description.sponsorshipUK Government’s Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.issn2590-3322
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10625/60108
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherElsevier Inc.en
dc.relation.ispartofVOLUME 4, ISSUE 4, P489-501, APRIL 23, 2021en
dc.relation.journalOne Earth
dc.relation.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2021.03.005
dc.subjectRISK ASSESSMENTen
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE RISK MANAGEMENTen
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTSen
dc.subjectCOMPLEXITYen
dc.subjectIPCCen
dc.subjectCLIMATE RISKSen
dc.subjectCLIMATE MITIGATION POLICYen
dc.subjectADAPTIVE CAPACITYen
dc.subjectWATER SCARCITYen
dc.subjectHEAT STRESSen
dc.subjectSOUTH OF SAHARAen
dc.titleA framework for complex climate change risk assessmenten
dc.typeJournal Article (peer-reviewed)en
idrc.copyright.holder© 2021 The Authors
idrc.copyright.oapermissionsourceCC BY 4.0en
idrc.dspace.accessOpen Accessen
idrc.project.componentnumber109419001
idrc.project.number109419
idrc.project.titleAmplifying the uptake of African adaptation science in the 6th Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)en
idrc.rims.adhocgroupIDRC SUPPORTEDen

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A framework for complex climate change risk assessment