A framework for complex climate change risk assessment
Date
2021-04-23
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Elsevier Inc.
Abstract
The approach encourages divergent thinking, which traverses sectoral and regional boundaries and recognizes links between physical and socio-economic drivers of risk. In this paper recent work describing complex climate change risk is synthesized. It includes concepts of compound, connected, and cascading interactions. It reflects on the consequences of risk assessment and response. It then establishes a framework for risk assessment that encompasses increasing levels of complexity. The framework is demonstrated through diverse case studies to illustrate how risk assessments can better consider and categorize complexity. For convenience and tractability, analysts tend to break risk assessments into silos, often taking a component-oriented view.
Description
item.page.type
Journal Article (peer-reviewed)
item.page.format
Keywords
RISK ASSESSMENT, CLIMATE CHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS, COMPLEXITY, IPCC, CLIMATE RISKS, CLIMATE MITIGATION POLICY, ADAPTIVE CAPACITY, WATER SCARCITY, HEAT STRESS, SOUTH OF SAHARA