Linking IPCC AR4 & AR5 frameworks for assessing vulnerability and risk to climate change in the Indian Bengal Delta

Abstract

The International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) AR5 (Fifth Assessment Report, 2014) conceptual approach and terminology is aligned with a concept of risk which differs from the previous framework (AR4). This study draws links between the AR5 concept of risk with the previous concept of vulnerability (AR4). The most significant difference between the results of the AR4 and AR5 approaches is the change in sub-district level relative rankings. Findings show that Basanti, in the Bengal Delta, is the most vulnerable sub-district using the AR4 approach, whereas Gosaba is found to be highly exposed to risk using the AR5 approach.

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Keywords

MATHEMATICAL MODELS, RISK, CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY, VULNERABILITY, IPCC, DELTAS, REGIONAL ANALYSIS, INDIA, SOUTH ASIA

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