Applying the global RCP–SSP–SPA scenario framework at subnational scale : a multi-scale and participatory scenario approach

Abstract

The paper highlights the importance of multi-scale (top-down/ bottom-up) and participatory scenario methods for addressing uncertainty in adaptation decision-making. The framework facilitates improved integrated assessments of potential impacts for plausible adaptation policy choices, including migration. It considers four distinct policy trajectories: Minimum intervention; Economic capacity expansion; System efficiency enhancement; and System restructuring. The paper responds to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (IPCC-AR5). The article includes an extensive bibliography of references.

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Keywords

DOWNSCALING, IPCC, SCENARIOS, CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION, CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY, INTEGRATED APPROACH, DECISION MAKING, RIVER BASINS, DELTAS, SOUTH ASIA

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