What to expect from the price of healthy and unhealthy foods over time? : the case from Brazil

Abstract

The Brazilian Dietary Guidelines (2014) recognize barriers to adoption of a healthy diet, with special emphasis on food prices. This study analyzed the monthly prices of food groups and subgroups to measure changes in prices from 1995 to 2017 and to forecast prices up to 2030. Findings show that in 1995, ultra-processed foods were the most expensive group (R$ 6·51/kg), followed by processed foods (R$ 6·44/kg), then unprocessed or minimally processed foods and culinary ingredients (R$ 3·45/kg). Since the early 2000s, the price of ultra-processed foods underwent successive reductions. Evidence suggests that healthy diets are becoming more expensive.

Description

Keywords

ULTRA-PROCESSED PRODUCTS, FOOD SYSTEMS, COMMERCIAL DETERMINANTS OF HEALTH, PRICING, PUBLIC HEALTH, NON-COMMUNICABLE DISEASES, DIET, BRAZIL, SOUTH AMERICA

Citation

DOI