Modeling the macroeconomic effects of disease : extension and application in the context of Senegal

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2019-12

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Abstract

This paper proposes a model that quantifies the economic burden of a particular disease as the difference in GDP between two scenarios: a counter-factual scenario in which the disease is eliminated from the beginning of the time period, and a status quo scenario with the presence of the disease. It proposes a framework for the analysis of the macroeconomic impact of noncommunicable diseases (NCD) and applies the methodology to the context of Senegal. Total losses associated with non-communicable diseases over the period 2015-2035 are projected to amount to US$ 23 billion.

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Keywords

MATHEMATICAL MODELS, TOBACCO CONTROL, HEALTH ECONOMICS, MORBIDITY, NON-COMMUNICABLE DISEASES, MACROECONOMICS, SENEGAL, SOUTH OF SAHARA

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