India could avert many lakh smoking deaths through cigarette tax increase, reduce poverty and strengthen tobacco control implementation

Abstract

In 2016-17, India had about 38 million (or 380 lakh) cigarette smokers and over 1 million deaths annually due to tobacco. The cost-effectiveness model for increased taxation shows costs averted for treating the four major tobacco-attributable diseases would amount to about Rs.6,097 crore. The increase in excise tax needed to achieve a 50% increase in cigarette price would generate about Rs.18,113 crore. Extra revenue generated from men in the top income group would be about 3.9 times that from the bottom income group (Rs.1,559 crore vs 6,118 crore). The study also reviews key decision makers in Karnataka and current gaps in tobacco control.

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Keywords

MATHEMATICAL MODELS, TAXATION, CIGARETTES, SMOKING, TOBACCO CONTROL POLICY, NON-COMMUNICABLE DISEASES, COST EFFECTIVENESS, RESEARCH TO POLICY, INDIA, SOUTH ASIA

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