Selecting representative climate models for climate change impact studies : an advanced envelope based selection approach

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IDL - 58568.pdf (15.89 MB)

Date

2016

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Volume Title

Publisher

John Wiley & Sons Ltd

Abstract

Limitations in computational capacity compromise the number of climate models that can be included in a climate change impact study. The selection of climate models is not straightforward and can be made via different methods. This study combines approaches in a three-step sequential climate model selection procedure: 1) initial selection of climate models based on the range of projected changes in climatic means, 2) refined selection based on the range of projected changes in climatic extremes and 3) final selection based on the climate model skill to simulate past climate. The procedure is illustrated through a study covering the Indus, Ganges and Brahmaputra river basins.

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Keywords

CLIMATOLOGY, CLIMATE MODELLING, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT, HIMALAYA, SIMULATION, MATHEMATICAL MODELS, GLOBAL WARMING, HYDROLOGY, INDUS, GANGES, AND BRAHMAPUTRA (IGB), INDIA, SOUTH ASIA

Citation

URI

http://hdl.handle.net/10625/58568

DOI

Collections

IDRC Research Results / Résultats de recherches du CRDI
2010-2019 / Années 2010-2019
Research Results (CARIAA) / Résultats de recherches (IRCAAA)