Socioeconomic future of deltas in a changing environment

Abstract

This paper analyzes the extent to which the biophysical context of deltas contributes to the sustainability of different economic activities. The study uses a set of environmental-extended multiregional input-output (IO) databases used to trace the flow of provisioning ecosystem services across supply chains. Results can demonstrate linkages between the biophysical environment and economic activities. Within the DEltas, vulnerability, and Climate Change: Migration and Adaptation (DECCMA) scenario, a Computable General Equilibrium model is developed for different scenarios. Deltas are especially vulnerable to climate change given low-lying exposure to storm surges, coastal and fluvial flooding, sea level rise and subsidence.

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Keywords

DELTAS, CLIMATE MODELLING, FLOODING, SCENARIOS, SOCIO-ECONOMIC INDICATORS, MATHEMATICAL MODELS, SIMULATION, CLIMATE DATA, RISK ASSESSMENT, INDICATORS, CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY, INDIA, SOUTH ASIA

Citation

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