Migration and inclusive growth in Vietnam : recent trends and policy implications [Vietnamese language]
Date
2015
Authors
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Volume Title
Publisher
Centre for Analysis and Forecasting
Abstract
This study seeks to find new trends of migration in Vietnam, notably rural-urban migration and in four main labor intensive export-oriented manufacturing sectors including textile and garment, footwear, electronics and wood processing that are expected to continue flourish in the context of Vietnam accelerating its integration into the global economy, notably under the forthcoming Trans Pacific Partnership Agreements. Our analysis of data of Labor Force Survey conducted in the period from 2011 to 2014 reveals that shares of migrant workers in these manufacturing sectors are relatively high, at over 40% for the first three and approximately 35% for the last one. Given the importance of migration as an important income equalizing force, one might expect that the development of these export-oriented sectors contributes to inclusive growth. This report also paints a broader picture of migration at the national level. It is found that rural-to-urban migration slows down in recent years, while there are signs of rising urban-to-rural migration rising. This might be explained by the rising employment opportunities in rural areas thanks to improved infrastructures there. However, it is found that shares of informal employment are highest among urban-to-rural and rural-to-rural migration, which indicates a higher degree of vulnerability among these groups. These imply that Vietnam should be consistent in its efforts to deepen its integration into the global economy with the resultant rising export, which is found by numerous studies to be an important driver of moving workers out of agriculture into non‐agricultural formal employment in Vietnam.
Description
Includes abstract in English
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Policy Brief