Palm oil taxes and cardiovascular disease mortality in India: economic-epidemiologic model

Abstract

A microsimulation model of mortality due to myocardial infarction and stroke among Indian populations was constructed, incorporating nationally representative data. Given estimates of substitution of palm oil with other oils following a 20% price increase for palm oil, the beneficial effects of increased polyunsaturated fat consumption would be expected to enhance the projected reduction in deaths to as much as 421,000 people. Other results: curtailing palm oil intake through taxation may modestly reduce hyperlipidemia and cardiovascular mortality, but with potential distributional consequences – differentially benefiting male and urban populations, as well as affecting food security.

Description

Keywords

INDIA, CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES, TAXATION, EPIDEMIOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL MODELS, FOOD SECURITY, CHRONIC DISEASES, NON-COMMUNICABLE DISEASES, SOCIAL DETERMINANTS OF HEALTH, SOUTH ASIA, PALM OIL, MORTALITY

Citation

Basu, S., Babiarz, K.S., Ebrahim, S., Vellakkal, S., Stuckler, D., & Goldhaber-Fiebert, J.D. (2013). Palm oil taxes and cardiovascular disease mortality in India: economic-epidemiologic model. BMJ, 347, f6048. doi:10.1136/bmj.f6048

DOI