Methodological strengths and weaknesses of climate change modeling and downscaling : background research paper

Abdrabo, Mohamed; Almansi, Florencia; Almeida, Oriana; Bidegain, Mario; Caffera, Mario

Methodological strengths and weaknesses of climate change modeling and downscaling : background research paper

Files

IDL-52770.pdf (1.33 MB)

Date

2014

Authors

Abstract

“Downscaling” is a method of generating data from global models that can be locally relevant, and is useful for analyzing potential impacts and conducting vulnerability studies. As coastal zones are particularly susceptible to climate change impacts, this background paper analyzes some of the strengths and challenges of downscaling General Circulation Models (GCM) that were experienced by Climate Change and Water (CCW) project partners conducting adaptation research in coastal areas. Downscaled and modeled information must focus on end-user needs, particularly in developing countries, including a clear understanding of available data limits, and acknowledgement of uncertainty and probability.

Description

A Synthesis of Discussions from the “Adaptation Research on Coastal and Delta Areas Workshop”, co-hosted by the Universidad do Pará and the International Development Research Centre (IDRC)
IDRC would like to acknowledge the following people for their contributions to this background paper: Abdrabo, Mohamed; Almansi, Florencia; Almeida, Oriana; Bidegain, Mario; Caffera, Mario; Cartwright, Anton; Conde, Daniel; Deadman, Peter; Fernandes, Katia; Khan, Muhammad Shah Alam; Kumar, Ritesh; Martinez, Alejandra; Rivero, Sergio; Santibañez, Paula; Takahashi, Ken; and Vogt, Nathan

Keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE, ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE, CLIMATE MODELLING, GLOBAL SOUTH, VULNERABILITY, DOWNSCALING, REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELLING, CLIMATE DATA, ADAPTIVE CAPACITY, COASTAL ZONE MANAGEMENT, DELTAS