Transiciones laborales, reformas estructurales y vulnerabilidad laboral en el Perú
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2010-04
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Abstract
El presente documento analiza la dinámica del mercado de trabajo en el Perú a través de las
transiciones laborales. Específicamente, determinar si se ha reducido la vulnerabilidad
laboral, entendida como la probabilidad de perder el empleo formal y, en particular, pasar
al empleo informal. Al respecto, no se encontró evidencia suficiente para probar que en el
agregado la vulnerabilidad se haya reducido entre 1998 y el 2008. El modelo probit
multinomial empleado mostró que existe evidencia para sostener que las reformas
estructurales de los noventas contribuyeron con reducir la vulnerabilidad laboral de los
trabajadores, pero con un efecto reducido. Otras variables de control utilizadas en este
estudio, como el nivel educativo o el sexo, probaron tener mayor impacto en la
vulnerabilidad laboral.
This study analyses the labor market dynamics in Peru through labor market transitions, specifically determining if the labor vulnerability – defined as the probability of losing a formal job and, in particular, getting an informal job – has been reduced. Not enough evidence was found to prove a reduction of the total vulnerability between 1998 and 2008. The multinomial probit model used, showed that the structural reforms of the nineties helped to reduce workers’ labor vulnerability, but with a reduced effect. Other control variables analyzed in this study, such as schooling or sex, showed to have more influence on labor vulnerability.
This study analyses the labor market dynamics in Peru through labor market transitions, specifically determining if the labor vulnerability – defined as the probability of losing a formal job and, in particular, getting an informal job – has been reduced. Not enough evidence was found to prove a reduction of the total vulnerability between 1998 and 2008. The multinomial probit model used, showed that the structural reforms of the nineties helped to reduce workers’ labor vulnerability, but with a reduced effect. Other control variables analyzed in this study, such as schooling or sex, showed to have more influence on labor vulnerability.
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Abstract provided in English
Documento de Economía No. 281
Documento de Trabajo 281
Documento de Economía No. 281
Documento de Trabajo 281
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Working Paper
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Keywords
INFORMALIDAD, EMPLEO, EMPLEO INFORMAL, DINAMICA LABORAL, TRANSICIONES LABORALES, REFORMAS ESTRUCTURALES, VULNERABILIDAD LABORAL, MERCADO DE TRABAJO, SECTOR INFORMAL, SECTOR FORMAL, SEGURIDAD EN EL EMPLEO, ESTABILIDAD LABORAL, POLITICA DE EMPLEO, PERU
Citation
Morales, R., Rodriguez, J., Higa, M., & Montes, R. (2010). Transiciones laborales, reformas estructurales y vulnerabilidad laboral en el Perú. Documento de Economía, (281), 1-56.